SMU vs UCF: Upset Alert, Betting Preview, and a FREE $400

SMU vs UCF: For the first time this season, we will have college football on a Wednesday night. UCF and SMU will finally get their American Athletic Conference opener game in tonight in Orlando Florida.
UCF (3-1) and SMU (2-2) were originally scheduled to meet on Saturday, but it was then moved to Sunday due to Hurricane Ian. Sunday didn’t work either, which then moved the game to Wednesday.
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SMU Mustangs
The Mustangs have struggled over the past two weeks, losing by one score to TCU and Maryland in each of their previous games. They do however, have a great offense and will enter tonight averaging 36.3 points per game, paired with 524 yards, which is good for 21st and sixth in the nation.Â
Quarterback Tanner Mordecai averages 389 passing yards per game which is the highest average in the country. On the other side of the defense, the Knights defense has yet to be tested by a quarterback who has the potential to put up these kinds of numbers. The UCF pass defense ranks 13th in opponent completion percentage, 48th in yards per pass and 32nd in passing success rate allowed.
SMU should find even more success on the ground against a UCF defense that ranks a dismal 115th in opponent yards per rush allowed.Â
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UCF Knights
The Knights have been a solid football team on both sides of the football. They have played two teams from the ACC and a decent FAU squad so far this season.Â
Dual-threat quarterback John Rhys Plumlee leads the team in rushing and has out-gained Isaish Bowser by nearly 200 yards while tying him for the most carries on the team.
Still, UCF’s ground game is one of the best in the country with a trio of running backs that combined, rank 16th in yards per rush and 6th in rushing attempts per game. On the other side of the football, SMU comes into this matchup ranked 121st in yards per carry allowed.
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SMU vs UCF
TEAM | SPREAD | MONEY | TOTAL |
SMU | +2.5 (-102) | +116 | O 62.5 (-105) |
UCF | -2.5 (-120) | -140 | U 62.5 (-115) |
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Prediction
I’m riding with an SMU upset tonight. I like the more balanced attack for the Mustangs and Tanner Mordecai’s ability to air the football out, while UCF relies heavily on their run game.
SMU – MONEY LINE +116