Sweet Sixteen Locks and a Free $200 just for showing up
We back baby! Coming off a 4-1 CBB night, I really thought the Texas Tech ML play was going to hit for a full sweep and cash that huge promo parlay as well but hey, we’ll take a very green night, every night.
Before we get into it, this is a lower confidence card than normal. Last night I went in feeling like a sweep was coming and we almost got it. Tonight feels every 50/50. So keep that in mind when thinking units.
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Miami and Iowa State tonight is currently list o/u 133.5. I’ve seen the number bounce around a bit depending on the book you’re using. I like under that 133.5 for this game. Both teams are a combined 4-0 on unders this tourney.
Miami held USC to 66 and Auburn to 61. And you might be thinking but they also put up 68 and 79 in those games too. Very true, but this Iowa State team doesn’t give up a lot of points. Especially against ranked teams. They held LSU to 54 and Wisconsin to 49.
Now OT could play a factor here so I’d recommend maybe sprinkling a little on will this game go to OT: Yes @ +1270 right now. That way if it goes to OT and the over hits you’re safe and if it doesn’t you’ll still be green because the OT odds are so large.
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I’ve gone back and forth on the UCLA/UNC game maybe a million times. But I’ve finally landed on, UCLA win margin 1-10 +179 as my play. I like them ML as well at -145, I’ll probably double dip like I did with Nova last night. I think this game is tight and as long as UCLA’s Jaime Jaquez plays, they should win. He was taking reps yesterday so here’s to hoping.
I’m going to contradict myself here for this stretch parlay. I said I went back and forth with UNC UCLA. I tossed this together when I was still liking UNC. So take a look, maybe adjust where you see fit but this is my Dog’s Day Parlay.
Had $10 of bonus cash in the account, toss the dogs out there. This is a 0.5 unit play MAX.
Now this parlay is another slate saver like last night. Pushing alt spreads to where they should easily cover. Jam them together and you get +110 odds.
I really want to ride St. Peter’s +13.5 but I just can’t all the trends point in their favor but this Purdue team is legit and when their offense is on it’s blow out city. I am going to play both St. Peter’s team total over 58.5 -110 and the total over for the game 132.5. I like this St. Peter’s team to put up 63+ and Purdue to put up no less than 75.
Against ranked teams St. Peter’s and Purdue games have gone over the total 9 of 11 times. As I’m typing this I’m talking myself into St. Peter’s +13.5. I mean look at these trends people!!!
Those are all ATS. 5-0 on neutral court! 10-3 ATS as a dog!!! 22-9 overall ATS for the season!
As for Providence +8 vs Kansas, I like it so much it scares me. Kansas is the better team, Kansas is going to win this game. I just can’t see Providence not keeping it within the number. Prov is 8-1 ATS this year as a dog and 6-0 as a road dog. Their only non-cover as an underdog this year was to Nova when they lost by 5 and the line was 4.
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WE RIDE!!!!!
