Game 3 Betting Preview: Mavericks look to avoid 3-0 deficit in Dallas
Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks will return home tonight to take on the Golden State Warriors in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors took game one with ease, winning 112-87, and protected home court on Friday night with a 126-117 victory. Now, the Mavericks will be at home looking to avoid a 3-0 series deficit.
Steph Curry and the Warriors outscored the Mavericks 25-13 to run away with the game in the second half and are now just two games away from returning to the NBA Finals. Curry scored 21 points with eight rebounds and five assists to lead the Warriors in Game 2.
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Warriors-Mavericks Betting Notes
- Teams down 0-2 coming home for Game 3 are now 36-12-1 ATS (75%) in the first half.
- Bullock has made at least three 3-pointers in 10 of his 15 playoff games this season.
- Warriors 119.8 Offensive Rating at Home // 108.7 on the Road.
Mavericks-Warriors Odds via BetMGM
| TEAM | SPREAD | MONEY LINE | TOTAL |
| Golden State Warriors | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | O 217.5 (-110) |
| Dallas Mavericks | -2.5 (-110) | -142 | U 217.5 (-110) |
Bad Beat Alert
Spencer Dinwiddie absolutely crushed us in Game 2 on Friday night. He played 22 minutes and only scored 4 points on 2-of-6 shooting from the floor. The result was a big fat L on the Spider Parlay playing at +3190 odds. Just a brutal result.
Risky but Valuable Player Props
Kevin Looney 10+ Points (+164): Looney scored 10 points in Game 1 before exploding for 21 points in Game 2. At +164 odds, 10+ points tonight seems like too good of a value to gloss over.
Stephen Curry 6+ Rebounds (-120): Curry pulled in 12 rebounds in Game 1, and eight rebounds in game two. I could bump this up to 8+ rebounds again but I’ll settle with 6+ tonight.
Reggie Bullock 4+ Threes (+196): Bullock was 6-for-10 in Game 2 from beyond the arc and him knocking down four at home at +196 odds just feels right.
Jalen Brunson 4+ Assists (+104): Brunson had four assists in Game 1 and five assists in Game 2.
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Prediction
Teams simply do not come back from 3-0 deficits in the NBA Playoffs. I do like the Dallas Mavericks to get back into this series and win at home tonight. My favorite bet still comes in the 1st half of this game.
Teams down 0-2 coming home for Game 3 are now 36-12-1 ATS (75%) in the first half. Take Dallas Mavericks first half alternate spread -3.5 at +112 and if you want to go crazy, play it up to -6.5 at +186.
Pick: Dallas Mavericks -3.5 1H +112 and U 217.5 (-110)
