Red October: Every reason why the Philadelphia Phillies could upset the St. Louis Cardinals in the Wild Card
The National League playoff bracket is set and the Philadelphia Phillies will be facing the St. Louis Cardinals in a three-game wild card series, starting Friday, at 2:07PM EST.
Right now, sports books have the Phillies at +112 to beat the Cardinals (-13) in the Wild Card round, and here is every reason why there’s a very good possibility that could happen.
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Every Reason Why the Philadelphia Phillies will Beat the St. Louis Cardinals
The Philadelphia Phillies won the regular season series 4-3 against the St. Louis Cardinals.
St. Louis is just 6-8 over their last 14 games and have scored two runs or fewer nine times during that span. First, let’s look at how the Cardinals core performed over the past month.
Cardinals Core in September
Adam Wainwright was 2-2 with an ERA of 6.38 and 9 strikeouts in 5 appearances last month.
Jordan Montgomery was 1-3 with an ERA of 4.67 and 28 strikeouts in 5 appearances last month.
Miles Mikolas was 2-3 with an ERA of 2.32 and 29 strikeouts in 5 appearances last month.
Paul Goldschmidt batted .253 with 22 hits, 2 homers, 9 RBIs and 9 runs scored in 24 games last month.
Nolan Arenado batted .216 with 19 hits, 2 home runs, 12 RBIs and 7 runs scored in 24 games last month.
Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado vs Zack Wheeler, Aaron Nola
Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are a combined 16-for-72 (.222) against Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola with 0 HR, 14 K.
Zack Wheeler has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 0.00 and 10 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Cardinals this season.
Aaron Nola has given up 5 runs on 7 hits with 7 strikeouts in 7 innings against the Cardinals this season.
Phillies Pitching Staff in September
Ranger Suarez had a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.14 and 21 strikeouts in 5 appearances last month.
Bailey Falter was 3-1 with an ERA of 3.51 and 22 strikeouts in 5 appearances last month.
Jose Alvarado was 1-0 with an ERA of 0.00, 19 strikeouts and 1 save in 11 appearances last month.
Zach Eflin with an ERA of 1.35 and 9 strikeouts in 6 appearances last month.
Phillies Top 3 Performers against the Cardinals this Season (7 Games)
Rhys Hoskins batted .360 with 9 hits, 3 home runs, 4 RBIs and 4 runs scored in 7 games against the Cardinals this season.
Alec Bohm batted .421 with 8 hits, 2 home runs, 3 RBIs and 5 runs scored in 6 games against the Cardinals this season.
J.T. Realmuto batted .263 with 5 hits, a home run, 2 RBIs and 2 runs scored in 5 games against the Cardinals this season.
Other Notable Phillies at the Plate
Brandon Marsh batted .284 with 19 hits, a homer, 5 RBIs and 7 runs scored in 20 games last month.
Jean Segura batted .264 with 23 hits, 2 home runs, 8 RBIs and 8 runs scored in 24 games last month.
Nick Castellanos hit .357 with 5 hits and a run scored in 5 games last month.
Kyle Schwarber has 14 hits, 7 home runs, 13 RBIs, and is averaging .269 over the last 15 games.
The St. Louis Cardinals are a struggling baseball team and haven’t been able to put it together over the past 30+ days. Yes, I know the Philadelphia Phillies struggled in September as well, but the monkey is finally off their backs and they are now in the postseason. That tends to change things.
All I’m doing is looking at the numbers and if you noticed, none of players listed above are named Bryce Harper, who is overdue to breakout of a rough return after missing two months of the regular season.
If Zack Wheeler can take game one and continue his dominance over the St. Louis Cardinals this season and we get another performance like Aaron Nola had in Houston earlier this week then a trip to Atlanta in the NLDS is in reach.