College Football Bowl Betting Guide: Tuesday, December 27th
College Football bowl season is in full swing with some historical games going on all throughout the day this entire week.
Great traditions like the Guaranteed Rate Bowl, the San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl, the Duke’s Mayo Bowl, and the prestigious Cheez-It Bowl all set the tone for the eventual New Year’s Six matchups and College Football Playoff.
Make sure you’re signing up and taking advantage of all the free bets and risk-free offers this week as we get into some (responsible) degenerate bowl action.
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Camellia Bowl (Montgomery, AL)
Georgia Southern (-5) vs. Buffalo | O/U 67
Georgia Southern’s quarterback Kyle Vantrease spent five seasons with Buffalo before entering the transfer portal this offseason. He’s since revamped the Eagles’ offense from a pedestrian option attack to a prolific passing game, ranking fourth in the nation with 327.0 yards per game. On defense, Georgia Southern struggled to stop anybody this season but has a favorable matchup against a wildly inconsistent offense.
Buffalo squeaked into the bowl conversation after losing three of their last four games. In their final contest, the Bulls pulled off a 23-22 comeback victory over a 2-10 Akron Zips squad as 12-point favorites. It’s tough to back the Georgia Southern defense, but the way Buffalo ended conference play and the MAC’s strength of schedule makes me lean Eagles.
The Pick: Georgia Southern -5
SERVPRO First Responder Bowl (Dallas, TX)
Memphis (-7.5) vs. Utah State | O/U 57
This spread opened at Memphis -10.5 and has since moved to -7 despite Utah State’s offensive catalyst, Calvin Tyler Jr, opting out for the NFL draft. The nation’s 32nd-leading rusher totaled 1,043 yards and eight total touchdowns.
Going by the numbers, the Utah State Aggies ranks:
- 115th in turnover margin (-7)
- 127th defensive red zone conversion rate (93.0%)
- 129th offensive red zone conversion rate (70.3%)
- 130th in penalties per game (8.58 per game!)
Six-foot-three sophomore quarterback, Seth Henigan, leads the Memphis attack with an accuracy rate of 63.8% and a 19:8 touchdown to interception ratio. The Tigers also have fewer opt-outs, so I have no problem laying the numbers here despite the high total.
The Pick: Memphis -7.5
Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Phoenix, AZ)
Wisconsin -4.5 vs. Oklahoma State | O/U 45
One of the weirdest matchups will feature two units that look drastically different from the teams we’ve seen play all season. For Oklahoma State, QB Spencer Sanders, RB Dominic Richardson, DE Tyler Lacy, and LB Mason Cobb have opted out or hit the transfer portal.
For the Badgers, starting QB Graham Mertz entered the portal and center Joe Tippman plus LB Nick Herbig opted out in preparation for the draft. Wednesday night’s game is one of the most brutal bowl games to bet on with so many starters out of action. I’m going to roll with the Badgers’ defense which ranks 23rd in the nation in 3rd down conversation rate (33.1%) and 22nd in red zone defense (76.9%).
The Pick: UNDER 45
Lucky Lucciano Lottery Ticket: +366
- Georgia Southern -2.5
- Memphis -9
- UNDER 49.5 Wisco/OkSt
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