Dinger Tuesday: Best FanDuel MLB Home Run Picks 6.27
Props to FanDuel for making Tuesdays exciting with their Dinger Tuesday promotion.
So, with that in mind, we have our two favorite FanDuel Dinger Tuesday home run props below.
Freddie Freeman to Hit a Home Run | +280 at FanDuel
My strategy when it comes to Dinger Tuesday is to identify the games that are most likely to have the most home runs hit and then find the best value from there. For today, this Dodgers/Rockies game is, unquestionably, the juiciest home run game.
For starters, everybody knows Coors Field is the ultimate hitter’s ballpark, and the weather in Denver today is no different. From there, the Rockies have Connor Seabold pitching. No offense to Seabold (offense is coming), but he is not a great pitcher by any means. He has a 5.88 ERA and has given up an absurd 11 home runs in only 56.2 innings pitched.
As for Freeman himself, he is admittedly in a little bit of a home run slump, with only one home run in his last ten games played. With that said, there is reason to believe that he is going to break out of that slump, as his advanced power numbers are still very good.
He has an ISO rate (isolated power) of 23.2%, a barrel rate of 12.8%, and a wOBA of .399. All of those three stats are considered to be great power numbers. So, all in all, Freeman should be able to send one deep for us tonight.
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Ryan O’Hearn to Hit a Home Run | +600 at FanDuel
In terms of weather, this Reds vs. Orioles game is the second-juiciest game for home runs on today’s MLB betting slate. So, we will be riding with O’Hearn to cash a home run for us at +600 odds.
Before you laugh at me and ask why I would be choosing a player who has only hit six home runs on the year, keep in mind that O’Hearn only has 101 at-bats so far this year. He missed time in May, which is contributing to that low number.
So, yes, the raw home run numbers aren’t there, but looking into his advanced stats shows a very good power hitter. His ISO rate is at 24.8%, which is just below the 25% threshold for a number that is considered excellent, but his barrel rate is at an excellent number of 15.8%.
Based on the weather we are having in Baltimore, O’Hearn just needs to get a hold of one pitch and he should be able to send one yard, and for +600 odds, he represents great value.
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