Win or Go Home: Warriors-Mavericks Game 4 Betting Preview

The NBA Conference Finals games have been anything but exciting and have left me wondering if we’ll ever see anything besides a complete blowout. I really don’t want have to go all-in on betting baseball or hell, even the NHL, but if we keep getting boring NBA games I may not have a choice.

The Miami Heat laid a fat egg in Boston last night against the Celtics and honestly, I fell asleep before the game even ended. It was that bad, and at the end of the night, Boston evened up the series at 2-2- with a 102-82 victory. Now, focus shifts back to the West, with the Dallas Mavericks looking to avoid getting swept by the Golden State Warriors at home.

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Tonight’s Warriors-Mavericks Betting Notes: 

• Warriors have won nine straight Western Conference Finals games
• Last five Mavericks home games have hit the under. 
• Warriors have covered the spread in four consecutive games.

Mavericks-Warriors Odds via BetMGM

TEAM	SPREAD	MONEY LINE	TOTAL
Golden State Warriors	+1.5 (-110)	-105	O 215.5 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks	-1.5 (-105)	-115	U 215.5 (-110)

Risky but Valuable Player Props

Kevin Looney 10+ Rebounds (-125): Looney has grabbed double figure rebounds in three of his last four games, including 12 rebounds in Game 3.

Stephen Curry 6+ Rebounds (-136): Curry pulled in 12 rebounds in Game 1, and eight rebounds in Game 2. In Game 3, Curry grabbed five rebounds. Six rebounds is always within reach.

Reggie Bullock 4+ Threes (+205): Bullock was 6-for-10 in Game 2 from beyond the arc. In Game 3, Bullock screwed over everyone, shooting 0-for-10 from the floor and a miserable 0-for-7 from three point range. Time to hop back on the wagon in an elimination game.

Spencer Dinwiddie 3+ Threes (+150): Dinwiddie bounced back in Game 3 after a brutal Game 2, shooting 4-for-10 from beyond the arc. Elimination game Dinwiddie is going to hit three for us.

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Prediction

The Golden State Warriors are clearly the better team in this series and with the Mavericks at home in an elimination game, I am really zeroing in on the over tonight at 215.5.

Pick: Over 215.5 and that sweet, sweet, +3033 Parlay Above