Saints-Falcons Betting Preview: Bet $10 on New Orleans -5.5, earn $200 FREE
NFL’s opening weekend will feature a NFC South matchup between the Saints and Falcons down at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, September 11 | 1 PM EST | Mercedes-Benz Stadium | Atlanta, GA
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Saints-Falcons Odds Via BetMGM
|Saints||-5.5 (-110)||-225||O 43 (-110)|
|Falcons||+5.5 (-110)||+190||U 43 (-110)|
Although New Orleans will enter the 2022 campaign with a new head coach for the first time since 2006, the Saints figure to contend for the NFC South crown this year. The team has posted a winning record in each of the past five seasons, despite some up-and-down play at quarterback.
Jameis Winston is now fully healthy after tearing his ACL last season and is primed for a big year. Michael Thomas will also be back in the starting lineup, along with the newly acquired Jarvis Landry and first-round pick Chris Olave.
Atlanta, however, is still in rebuilding mode as they prepare for the 2022 season. They certainly have some promise moving forward, with the likes of Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and Desmond Ridder, but they still have a ways to go before they’ll legitimately contend for the NFC South crown.
Key Matchup: Atlanta’s young weapons vs. New Orleans’ stout defense
Although Atlanta will have Marcus Mariota under center to start the season, they have a handful of exciting weapons surrounding their quarterback.
Pitts went over 1,000 receiving yards as a rookie and figures to be the team’s top pass catcher once again in 2022. London was one of the best wideouts in this past year’s NFL Draft and should be the No. 1 receiver with Calvin Ridley suspended for the entire year. We can’t forget about the versatile Cordarrelle Patterson either, who proved himself as one of the most dangerous weapons in football last season.
But alas, Mariota is limited as a passer and probably won’t be able to get the most out of the offensive weaponry around him, especially facing this vaunted New Orleans defense.
The Saints will return the majority of their defensive starters from last season, with the exception of safety Marcus Williams. Regardless, newly acquired Tyrann Mathieu should do just fine filling Williams’ shoes in the Saints secondary.
Per Pro Football Focus, both of New Orleans starting linebackers (Demario Davis and Pete Warner) were top-5 at their respective positions last season. Three of the four starting defensive lineman ranked inside the top-10 in PFF’s grading system as well.
The young weapons in Atlanta are in for a rude awakening this weekend. New Orleans will get after Mariota early and often and will likely force the former second-overall pick into some bad decisions. If New Orleans defense plays up to their ability, the team should have no issued covering the -5.5 spread.
Key Trends for Sunday’s contest
- Opposing teams held New Orleans to 24 points or fewer nine times last season, including three of Winston’s six starts.
- New Orleans went 9-8 against the spread last season, while Atlanta went 6-10-1.
- Both Atlanta and New Orleans hit the over in 41.2 percent of their games last season.
- Since 2020, the Saints hold a 3-1 record over Atlanta.
- New Orleans has won four straight games in Atlanta.
- Last time Atlanta won a home game against New Orleans was in 2017.
Picks: New Orleans -5.5 (-110) | U 43 point total (-110)
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