MLB Futures: Win Totals and Award Winners for the 2023 Season
Opening Day is officially under 48 hours away, as the first pitch of the 2023 MLB season is set to be thrown at 1:05 EST on Thursday, March 30th.
Unlike past years, all 30 teams will take the field on Thursday, with Braves vs. Nationals and Giants vs. Yankees being the first two games of the anticipated new regular season.
Opening Day always brings out the best pitching matchups across baseball. With all 30 teams on the field on Thursday, the premiere arms will be on full display across the MLB.
Here are a few notable pitching matchups.
- Corbin Burnes vs. Marcus Stroman
- Aaron Nola vs. Jacob deGrom
- Max Scherzer vs. Sandy Alcantara
- Alek Manoah vs. Miles Mikolas
- Dylan Cease vs. Framber Valdez
- Zac Gallen vs. Julio Urias
- Shane Bieber vs. Luis Castillo
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MLB Season Win Totals via FanDuel Sportsbook
- Diamondbacks: 75.5
- Braves: 95.5
- Orioles: 76.5
- Red Sox: 78.5
- Cubs: 76.5
- White Sox: 83.5
- Reds: 65.5
- Guardians: 86.5
- Rockies: 64.5
- Tigers: 69.5
- Astros: 95.5
- Royals: 68.5
- Angels: 82.5
- Dodgers: 96.5
- Marlins: 75.5
- Brewers: 86.5
- Twins: 84.5
- Mets: 93.5
- Yankees: 93.5
- Athletics: 59.5
- Phillies: 88.5
- Pirates: 67.5
- Padres: 93.5
- Giants: 81.5
- Mariners: 86.5
- Cardinals: 88.5
- Rays: 89.5
- Rangers: 81.5
- Blue Jays: 91.5
- Nationals: 58.5
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Favorite Unders: Orioles, Cubs, Giants
The Baltimore Orioles are going to be a fun little team. Adley Rutschman will turn into a premiere superstar this season, and Gunnar Henderson is going to be a fun player to watch. I just don’t think their pitching is good enough yet. Take under 76.5 for the Orioles at -102.
The Cubs got Dansby Swanson, the fourth-best shortstop in last offseasons free agent class. Their team doesn’t impress me. I think they’ll win around 72-74 games, which leads me to the under at 76.5, which sits at +104.
The Giants aren’t really a good baseball team. They struck out on Aaron Judge and Carlos Correa. I don’t really think they got better at all. Take their under 81.5 at -122.
Favorite Overs: Phillies, Mariners, Cardinals, Astros
The Phillies added Trea Turner to an already-elite lineup while bolstering their bullpen to one of the best in the game. They’re going to win closer to 95 than their win total is, which is 88.5. Take the over. Check out some Phillies futures here.
The Mariners are one of my sleeper teams heading into 2023, headlined by rising star Julio Rodriguez. Rodriguez is my dark-horse MVP pick in the AL this year, and I think he leads the team deep into the playoffs. I’m taking the over at 86.5.
The Cardinals are a good baseball team. Headlined by Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt, they’ve got t young core around key veterans and a good all-around pitching room. Will they lose to the Phillies in the Wild Card round again in 2023? Yes, but take their over on wins at 88.5. I think they win 89-92 games.
The Astros are the best team in the American League, and it isn’t remotely close. They’ve got a dominant pitching staff and a dominant lineup, and although they did lose Jose Altuve, I think they’ll be just fine when it’s all said and done. Take their over at 95.5
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Favorite Player Futures
Trea Turner NL MVP (+1100): Trea Turner has absolutely dominated in his first month with the Phillies, crushing seven homers combined in the World Baseball Classic and Spring Training. I think Turner has his best year yet and takes home NL MVP, and comes up huge during the absence of Bryce Harper.
Shohei Ohtani AL MVP (+220): Barring injury, I don’t think Shohei will ever go two years in a row without an MVP for the rest of his career. That sounds crazy, I know. The guy can do it all, and we saw it last year and in the WBC. Without a historical season from Aaron Judge, last year’s award is anonymous for Shohei.
Aaron Nola NL Cy Young (+1300): Aaron Nola enters a contract year and is coming off one of his best seasons yet. Nola has been close many times in the past to Cy Young, but I think 2023 is finally the year that he takes it home.
Dylan Cease AL CY Young (+900): Cease is coming off a breakout year with the White Sox, allowing just a 2.20 ERA in 32 starts with 227 strikeouts in 184 innings, along with a 6.4 WAR.
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