Celtics vs. Heat NBA Best Bets: Two NBA player prop bangers for Game 4
So we got Celtics/Heat Game 4 tonight, and I have two player prop bets that you won’t want to miss.
Max Strus Under 0.5 Turnovers | -106 at Caesars
*also available on FanDuel, BetMGM, and DraftKings*
I get it; this is a boring pick. Nobody is tuning in to watch the Celtics crumble on live television hoping to bet on a turnover prop, but trust me, this one is good.
First of all, the value is there. Caesars is giving us a gift at -106 odds, while every other book that prices this player prop has it around the -140s. Part of making money in sports betting is taking advantage of such outliers.
This is also an absolute banger for basketball reasons as well. Strus is essentially a catch-and-shoot player for the Heat, albeit a good one. Based on stats from NBA.com, Strus takes 68% of his shots without taking a single dribble. The majority of those are shots from 3-point range as well.
In the three games this series, Strus doesn’t have a single turnover. If you look at his last 10, he only has a turnover in one game. Getting this at -106 feels like a gift, which we will gladly take advantage of.
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Kevin Love Under 11.5 Points, Rebounds, Assists | -109 at Caesars
*also available on FanDuel, BetMGM, and DraftKings*
Love has had somewhat of a career renaissance for the Heat and has come up huge in the playoffs. But, with that said, he isn’t as needed as he was in the Bucks and Knicks series and even earlier in this current series against the Celtics.
When the Celtics went with their two-big lineup featuring Al Horford and Robert Williams, they needed Love as a bigger body. Now that the Celtics are opting to go small, Love has had his role lessened. After playing 20+ minutes per game against the Bucks and Knicks, Love’s minutes are down to roughly 16 per game against the Celtics.
The Heat have opted to go with Caleb Martin over Love recently, and Martin has rewarded the Heat with stellar play.
Let’s also not forget that Love left Game 3 early with a sprained ankle. He is expected to play tonight, but it wouldn’t be a surprise if they took it easy with him, as the Heat are one game away from closing out the Celtics.
Mandatory Credit: The Associated Press
