Phillies have 9 arbitration-eligible players and here’s what they are projected to make in 2026

The Phillies offseason is officially here and that means it’s time for everyone’s favorite annual exercise in arbitration projections.

MLB Trade Rumors’ Matt Swartz dropped his yearly estimates this week, giving us a first look at what the Phillies’ nine arbitration-eligible players could earn for 2026.

Dave Dombrowski will now have to decide whether to negotiate new deals before January’s deadline or risk taking things to a hearing, where an independent panel chooses between the player’s number or the team’s.

The other option, of course, is to non-tender players, essentially saying, “you’re not worth that much,” and letting them hit free agency.

With that said, here’s the rundown of all nine Phillies arbitration cases. Let me know what you think. Who’s worth keeping, and who might be on the bubble heading into the 2026 season?

Jesús Luzardo — $10.4 Million

The lefty workhorse earned this one. Luzardo logged a career-high 183.2 innings and posted a 3.92 ERA that doesn’t tell the full story. He was better than that. Add in a 2.35 ERA and eight strikeouts across 7.2 postseason innings, and you’ve got a legit No. 2 starter entering his contract year. The Phillies should absolutely explore an extension before next winter, but $10.4 million is fair value for now.

Alec Bohm — $10.3 Million

Bohm’s situation is a little trickier and honestly, I would much rather see him moved, assuming a replacement of greater or equal value can be signed. A shoulder injury limited him to 120 games, and while his 102 OPS+ is technically above league average, it doesn’t scream “$10 million player.”

If the Phillies decide to reshuffle their lineup and look for flexibility, Bohm could easily become a trade candidate. He’s not getting non-tendered, but don’t rule out a move if it clears salary space elsewhere.

Jhoan Duran — $7.6 Million

Aside from his Game 4 walk to Mookie Betts with the bases loaded, Duran was lights out. Throwing 100 mph doesn’t come without risk, but $7.6 million is an absolute bargain for a guy who’d get triple that on the open market.

The Phillies should consider a short extension that covers his final arbitration year and maybe one free-agent season, but there’s no rush.

Bryson Stott — $5.8 Million

Stott’s first half (.234, .637 OPS) was brutal, but to his credit, he reinvented himself after the All-Star break, hitting .294 with an .855 OPS down the stretch. He’s a steady glove at second base, can play shortstop when needed, and brings energy to a clubhouse that sometimes feels lifeless. Just tender him and move on.

Brandon Marsh — $4.5 Million

Nope. I’ve been saying it for years at this point. Brandon Marsh shows flashes of success but he’s still severely limited at the plate, making him less than an everyday starter. His season started in disaster (.095 through April), then he caught fire and finished with a .280 average and .785 OPS.

He’s a plus defender, but his postseason struggles where he had one hit in 13 at-bats were glaring. $4.5 million feels fine for now, but his future likely depends on what the Phillies do with Nick Castellanos, Harrison Bader, and Justin Crawford.

Edmundo Sosa — $3.9 Million

A clubhouse favorite and one of the best bench spark plugs in baseball, Sosa brings energy, defense, and timely hitting against lefties. He’s perfect as Bryson Stott’s platoon partner and a backup at short and third. No-brainer decision on Sosa. He’s back in 2026.

Tanner Banks — $1.2 Million

Quietly excellent. Banks put up a 3.07 ERA across 69 appearances, emerging as the team’s most reliable lefty out of the bullpen. He turns 34 this month but is still in his first year of arbitration, meaning the Phillies can control him through 2028.

Fantastic value for $1.2 million.

Rafael Marchán — $1 Million

Marchán didn’t do much at the plate (.205 average), but his work with the pitching staff and behind the scenes drew rave reviews. If J.T. Realmuto re-signs, Marchán remains the backup. If not, he likely slides into a timeshare role in 2026.

Garrett Stubbs — $925,000

Stubbs barely played this season (one MLB at-bat), but his leadership and impact behind the scenes keep him valuable. He worked closely with Andrew Painter in Triple-A and even got credit from Marsh for helping him rebound midseason.

He’s not guaranteed a roster spot, but a split deal (minor-league pay if at Lehigh Valley, full pay if in MLB) makes perfect sense again.

Phillies’ arbitration class is… manageable.

We’re not looking at any massive overpays, but a few looming questions. The biggest decision will be whether to extend Luzardo or move Bohm to shake up a stale offense. Beyond that, these guys can contribute. How much they contribute is certainly up for debate and will definitely influence who makes sense to keep as the Phillies once again, try to piece together a roster capable of hitting when it actually matters.

Rob Thomson reportedly returning as Phillies Manager in 2026

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