Beercan Bets Week 4: Trust the Process

It’s Thursday, that special time of the week when we continue our quest to turn an initial $25 bet into $25,000. Welcome once again to Beercan Bets. After another successful pick last week, our grand total is now up to $68.43.

A brief recap of how Beercan Bets works:

Download the Parx Sportsbook app and enter the code LIBERTYLINE with your initial $25 deposit.(Note: If you have been following along feel free to skip this part and just move right to step 2.)
Select one moneyline bet to wager the full $25 (or previous week’s winnings) on.
Win. (Thanks to Devin Booker we’re now up to $68.43!)
Apply the total amount won to another single moneyline bet next week.
Repeat steps 2 thru 4 until we have accumulated $25,000 in winnings.

Tonight’s pick:

This week’s slate of NBA games isn’t very deep. Some might call it sparse. We only have two games to choose from:

Lakers at Sixers, or Timberwolves at Warriors.

This week’s analysis is going to be very light. So light, that it’s basically non-existent.

The Warriors are so heavily favored against the Timberwolves it once again makes no sense to bet on them.

Note: Last week when they were at Indiana, I said basically the same thing. They wound up getting upset by the Pacers. These guys are professionals. Anything can happen on a Thursday night in the NBA. But that being said, there is no way they get upset at home by the Timberwolves. I won’t bet on that happening. Frankly, you can’t make me.

So rather than take a low reward bet on the Warriors who have odds of -245, I’m going to be a homer this week. I’m betting on the 76ers to defeat the Lakers tonight. And I’m doing it for one reason: Joel Embiid.

Joel Embiid has been in the midst of an unreal run since Christmas. He’s currently scored at least 30 points in 14 of the past 15 games. The absence of Ben Simmons has led to his game evolving in ways we couldn’t have anticipated. I feel like I’d have to be a maniac to bet against this guy.

Joel Embiid has scored 170 points in just over 128 minutes in his last 4 games, good for 1.32 points per minute.

The only player with a higher points per minute over a 4-game span since minutes became official in 1951-52 is Wilt Chamberlain (min. 50 minutes). pic.twitter.com/WMbUYmzzgo
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) January 26, 2022

Plus, Lakers star/ possible agent of the Chinese government Lebron James is out due to a sore knee.

LeBron James is out tonight due to a sore left knee.
— Mike Trudell (@LakersReporter) January 27, 2022

The stars feel like they’re aligning for a Sixers victory. Worst case scenario, I’m back here next week starting from scratch and I’ll never bet on the Sixers again.

The Pick:
76ers (-177)