Week 5 Eagles Prop Bets: Mismatches against the injury riddled Arizona Cardinals
As The Liberty Line and Phans of Philly take over Glendale for the Birds’ late Sunday afternoon kickoff, let’s find some ways for the fans going down there to recoup some bar tabs with some Eagles prop bets.
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The Arizona Cardinals have a surprisingly stout run defense under defensive coordinator Vance Joseph, allowing 87.0 yards per game (5th best in the NFL). Their 16th overall pick in 2021, linebacker Zaven Collins, and All-Pro safety Budda Baker lead the charge against the run, with linemen Zach Allen, Markus Golden, and JJ Watt holding down the defensive front.
However, Arizona is extremely thin in the secondary, typically carrying only three safeties and four cornerbacks on their active roster. Budda Baker and Jalen Thompson have over 230 snaps each, with backup Deionte Thompson seeing just six snaps all season.
As for the Cardinals cornerbacks, Byron Murphy Jr and Marco Wilson man the outside spots while Jace Whittaker plays the slot. Former Raider Trayvon Mullen and rookie Christian Matthew have played limited snaps this season and should be targeted anytime they see the field.
Arizona’s highest graded coverage defender is Byron Murphy Jr at 61.4, who occasionally will shadow the opposing team’s best wide receiver, in this case, AJ Brown. His running mate, Marco Wilson, posts an abysmal 45.0 coverage grade with three penalties committed in coverage. Backup Trayvon Mullen is questionable with a hamstring issue, meaning Christian Matthew could find himself in a bigger role.
Watch how easily Davante Adams beats Byron Murphy Jr on a quick slant, who repeatedly gets toasted in press coverage. However, Carr doesn’t see Adams before JJ Watt buries him for the sack. Next, Marco Wilson plays off coverage against Mack Hollins who carves him up on a deep in.
Finally, a combination of the two as Davante blows by Murphy Jr’s jam attempt but Carr goes to Mack Hollins, who gets in Marco Wilson’s blind spot and pivots for an easy pitch and catch.
Arizona gives up 255.8 yards per game through the air this year, 23rd in the NFL, and allows 85.2 yards per game to tight ends, 31st in the NFL. Having faced Travis Kelce and Darren Waller in the first two weeks could explain that awful statistic, but the Rams and Panthers used dual tight ends to gash the Cardinals’ defense.
Arizona Cardinals Coverage Breakdown
|OPPONENT||TE STATS||WR STATS|
|vs. Kansas City||10 rec, 132 yards, 2 TDs||13 rec, 169 yards, TD|
|at Las Vegas||9 rec, 80 yards, TD||14 rec, 137 yards, TD|
|vs. LA Rams||5 rec, 89 yards||13 rec, 160 yards|
|at Carolina||4 rec, 40 yards||9 rec, 76 yards|
All three of the Arizona Cardinals’ starting cornerbacks are 5-foot-11. Safety Jalen Thompson stands 5-foot-11 as well, and Budda Baker is a gracious 5-foot-10. Trayvon Mullen and Christian Matthew are the giants of the group at six-foot-two, but as discussed, rarely see the field. Dallas Goedert is listed at six-foot-five and AJ Brown at six-foot-one, meaning lob city whenever the Eagles enter the redzone.
One last note before we get into the bets, Fletcher Cox is enjoying a career renaissance lining up at left end or as a B-gap tackle in Jonathan Gannon’s front line schemes. Arizona’s right tackle, Kelvin Beachum, has allowed 13 total pressures this season (tied for 8th most in the NFL) and a team-high two sacks.
Arizona Cardinals Injury Report
Left guard Justin Pugh exited the Panthers game early with an elbow injury and was limited at practice on Friday. His backup, Max Garcia, is out after suffering a toe injury, and starting center Rodney Hudson is doubtful while dealing with a knee issue.
Finally, one of their best offensive lineman, left tackle DJ Humphries, has been limited all week with a hamstring issue and is officially questionable. Due to the plethora linemen visiting the trainers’ room, the Cardinals recently signed versatile Ohio State product, Billy Price, who has experience playing center and guard.
Haason Reddick should be knocking down the locker room door in anticipation of facing his former team, and I’m calling for a two sack performance from the Temple Tuff pass rusher. Fletcher Cox and Javon Hargrave should wreak havoc against the Arizona Cardinals’ down-trodden offensive line who may be without two key starters on the interior.
*Always bet responsibly especially with parlays, odds via DraftKings (10/7)*
Eagles Prop Bets
Dallas Goedert Tickets:
- OVER 3.5 catches (-155)
- OVER 43.5 rec yards (-135)
- Anytime Touchdown (+180)
Parlay Palace (3-Leg), Goedert Goes Off: 4+ catches, 40+ rec yards, Anytime TD = +295
DeVonta Smith Tickets:
- OVER 4.5 catches (+130)
- OVER 53.5 rec yards (-115)
- Anytime TD Scorer (+160)
Parlay Palace (3-Leg), “I’m Skinny Batman”: 5+ catches, 50+ rec yards, Anytime TD = +330
“I’m Swol Batman” Ticket:
AJ Brown Anytime TD Scorer (+110)
Sack Lunch Tickets:
- Haason Reddick OVER 0.75 sacks LINE TBD
- Fletcher Cox OVER 0.75 sacks LINE TBD
- Javon Hargrave OVER 0.75 sacks LINE TBD
Photo Credit: Perry Knotts/AP