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Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 11 Preview: Key matchups, odds and official prediction

Fresh off a much-needed bye, the 8-1 Eagles travel to Arrowhead Stadium for a Super Bowl rematch with the 7-2 Chiefs.

Kansas City is coming off a bye themselves and will undoubtedly be well-prepared for Monday night. No head coach has been more successful following a bye week than Andy Reid, who has an exceptional 21-3 record following a regular-season bye in his career.

Here are three key matchups to watch:

Travis Kelce vs. Eagles’ slot defenders

The Eagles got fried over the middle by CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson two weeks ago and now face the best tight end in football in Travis Kelce.

Kelce remains Mahomes’ top weapon on offense, recording 57 catches for 597 yards and 4 TDs so far this season. Zach Cunningham and Nicholas Morrow have played surprisingly well for Philly this year, but containing Kelce will be a tall task.

The Eagles get nickel CB Bradley Roby back from IR this week and will likely deploy a slot by committee approach. Mahomes and Kelce are known for exploiting weaknesses; expect Sean Desai to throw everything he can at them, including rookie safety Sydney Brown.

Eagles run-defense vs. Isiah Pacheco

The Chiefs have gotten tremendous return on their seventh-round investment in Isiah Pacheco, who has compiled 605 scrimmage yards through nine games. Pacheco brings power and pass-catching ability to Kansas City’s backfield, adding another element to an already dangerous offense.

Luckily for Philadelphia, they have the NFL’s top run defense, allowing just 66.3 rushing yards per game. If the defense can force Mahomes into obvious passing situations, it’ll make their lives a tad bit easier.

The Eagles have yet to give up 100 or more yards to an opposing rusher in the 2023.

Jordan Mailata

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Jalen Hurts vs. KC’s top-5 passing defense

The bye week did wonders for Jalen Hurts, who has officially ditched the brace that was stabilizing his left knee is recent weeks. With Hurts back at nearly 100% (and Cam Jurgens’ return to the lineup), the Eagles rushing attack should pick back up.

From a passing perspective, Hurts has been sensational since the Week 6 loss to NYJ:

Jalen Hurts since Week 6:

  • 75% comp.
  • 805 passing yards
  • 10 total TDs
  • 1 INT
  • 125.5 passer rating

Second-year man Trent McDuffie and L’Jarius Sneed have been a solid CB duo for Kansas City and the Eagles will now have to make do without Dallas Goedert. Look for Nick Sirianni to create mismatches with AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith.

The Chiefs secondary is allowing just 176.0 passing yards per game this season, fifth-best in the NFL

Philadelphia Eagles+2.5+120O 45.5
Kansas City Chiefs-2.5-142U 45.5
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Jalen Hurts has had nine long months to stew on the Super Bowl loss, a game where he largely outplayed Mahomes. He’s fresh, healthy, and hungry to make a statement against the man that won MVP over him last season.

Haason Reddick and Co. are likely eager to get to Mahomes after field conditions neutralized them in February — Kansas City’s OL will have their hands full.

The loss of Dallas Goedert is a big blow offensively, but the Eagles should have enough firepower to edge out a win. Give me Philly by a field goal on a long, final drive.

Official Prediction: Eagles 34, Chiefs 31

Mandatory Credit: Getty Images

Victor Williams is the host/producer of The Philly Pod on iHeartRadio and leads all Eagles coverage as co-founder of The Liberty Line.

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