MLB Futures: Phillies Season Stat Totals and Matchbets
With just three days to go till Phillies Opening Day, it’s time to get your final MLB Futures bets in for the 2022 season. We’ve already looked over multiple bets here at The Liberty Line including regular season stat leaders, Rookie of the Year, World Series winners, and more. Today we’re going to check out season stat totals and exclusive match bets for the 2022 Phillies season.
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Home Runs
- Rhys Hoskins: Over 33.5 (-110) | Under 33.5 (-110)
- Bryce Harper: Over 34.5 (-110) | Under 34.5 (-110)
- Kyle Schwarber: Over 30.5 (-115) | Under 30.5 (-105)
2021 HRs: Rhys Hoskins (27), Bryce Harper (35), Kyle Schwarber (32)
In the most unbiased way possible, I love all of these overs. I think Rhys Hoskins has a ton of pressure taken off of him this year, especially if he hits in the 5 or 6-hole. Bryce Harper is going to continue to dominate and ride the hot hand from Spring Training and his 2021 MVP season. Kyle Schwarber’s best stats of his career come in the leadoff position, and it seems that’s where he’ll be.
Final Picks: Hoskins O33.5, Harper O34.5, Schwarber O30.5
Hits
- Bryce Harper: Over 141.5 (-110) | Under 141.5 (-110)
- Jean Segura: Over 151.5 (-110) | Under 151.5 (-110)
2021 Hits: Jean Segura (149), Bryce Harper (151)
Take away the 2020 COVID season, and Bryce Harper has had over 141.5 hits every season he’s played in Philadelphia. Harper’s swing looked as smooth as ever down in Clearwater, and the reigning MVP said he feels better than ever.
Jean Segura was a hit machine last season for the Phillies, tallying 149 hits in 131 games. There’s no word on how the Phillies lineup will be structured this season, though it seems Segura could be in the 2-hole. Segura’s line is a toss-up to me, but I’d probably lean towards the under (but not by much).
Final Picks: Bryce Harper O141.5, Jean Segura U151.5
RBI
- Bryce Harper: Over 98.5 (-110) | Under 98.5 (-110)
2021 RBIs: Bryce Harper (84)
Bryce Harper is constantly going to have people on base when he’s at the plate and protection behind him that will make opposing pitchers wary of putting him on base. That should give him the green light a lot more than we have season in year’s past.
Harper’s pitch to the face last season took a toll on his stats, and he still won MVP. Bryce Harper is going to hit 100+ RBIs this season. Book it.
Final Pick: Bryce Harper O98.5
Strikeouts
- Zack Wheeler: Over 210.5 (+100) | Under 210.5 (-120)
- Aaron Nola: Over 214.5 (-110) | Under 214.5 (-110)
2021 Strikeouts: Zack Wheeler (247), Aaron Nola (223)
Zack Wheeler’s over/under here might be the most disrespectful line that I’ve ever seen. Wheeler finished last season with 247 strikeouts, which led the MLB.
Aaron Nola is coming off a down year, where he finished with a 4.63 ERA and…223 strikeouts. I’m still convinced that this is the breakout Nola season, and I don’t see a way this under is even in play. Nola is determined to come back stronger, and could even throw more K’s than he did last year.
Final Picks: Zach Wheeler O210.5, Aaron Nola O214.5
Wins
Zack Wheeler: Over 13.5 (-125) | Under 13.5 (+100)
2021 Wins: Zack Wheeler (14)
Although wins aren’t a pitching stat, I do believe Zack Wheeler sits around the 13-14 win mark this season. Nothing leads me to believe Zack Wheeler will take a step back from last season, and the Phillies’ offense will now give Wheeler more insurance during his starts.
Final Pick: Zack Wheeler O13.5
Total Strikeouts – Matchbet – Head-to-Head – Zack Wheeler vs Aaron Nola
- Zack Wheeler -130
- Aaron Nola +110
This is a matchbet that I absolutely love. The 1-2 combo of Wheeler and Nola combined for 470 strikeouts last season, and I see them putting up a higher number in 2022. With the Phillies bullpen being in slightly better shape than last season, Wheeler’s innings should drop. Both of these pitchers are bound for big years, but I’m taking the underdog here.
Total Home Runs – Matchbet – Head-to-Head – Bryce Harper vs Rhys Hoskins
- Bryce Harper -115
- Rhys Hoskins -105
Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins finally have players around them that can hit the baseball. Hoskins is coming off an unfortunate injury that cut his 2021 season short. I picked both of these players to hit their overs on HRs this year, but I like the underdog once again here. I think Rhys Hoskins thrives in the five-hole this year and turns the eyes of Major League Baseball.
Up Next for the Phillies
Spring Training winds down tomorrow, as the Phillies take on the Tampa Bay Rays at 12:35 EST.
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